Announcement: Coupling Uncertain Geophysical Hazards Workshop

Licensed according to this deed.

Published on

Abstract

Coupling Uncertain Geophysical Hazards Workshop

March 24-26, 2019

James B. Hunt Library, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

Description: Scientists are beginning to understand the propagation of uncertainty through mathematical models, to enable predictions of the likely outputs given the uncertainty of inputs. More challenging is the propagation of uncertainty through coupled models. Outputs of the first model are usually not directly related to the inputs of the second model — so how does one effect the coupling? How do the assumptions and uncertainties of the first model propagate through to outputs of the second? Although coupling has been recognized as an important issue in quantifying uncertainty, the analysis of coupled models has only very recently been the subject of mathematical and statistical study. Earth scientists, applied and computational mathematicians, and statisticians are invited to meet to examine modeling of coupled hazards, to identify the primary challenges in making predictions, and to devise effective strategies to advance methodologies for tackling these complex problems. There will be an examination of the physics of the dominate geophysical process such as mudslides, landslides, avalanches, volcanic mass flow events and airborne ash clouds, and their attendant uncertainties. Researchers will examine and apply new statistical methodologies that show promise for the efficient coupling of hazards.

** Deadline for applications is February 5, 2019 **

For questions or concerns email: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

See the full announcement and application here 

Copyright © 2018 SAMSI, All rights reserved.

Our mailing address is:

SAMSI

PO Box 110207

79 T W Alexander Drive

Durham, NC 27709-5207

Cite this work

Researchers should cite this work as follows:

  • Marcus I Bursik (2018), "Announcement: Coupling Uncertain Geophysical Hazards Workshop," https://vhub.org/resources/4490.

    BibTex | EndNote

Tags